Monday, December 28, 2009
2010: The year aheadWhile the Great Depression is considered to have begun with the great stock market crash of 1929, the first mention of the words “great depression” was in a speech given by Herbert Hoover in late 1931. The first specific and titular reference did not occur until 1934, when British economist Lionel Robbins published a book titled “The Great Depression.” This would neither be the first nor the last time economists influenced by the Austrian School would be the first to identify a major economic downturn in the making or to point out that the policies of the fiscal and monetary authorities were guaranteed to exacerbate it.
...At the end of 2009, conventional economists are claiming that the economic contraction which began in 2008 is over. Most government published statistics show growth and the stock markets have recovered half of their previous losses. While some of the wiser economists are hedging their bets by stating that they expect growth to be “sluggish” with “downside risks,” there are no more expectations of market crashes, financial collapse or widespread economic contraction than there were at the beginning of 2008. Full Piece
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